#tradingstrategy #ETFs #marketentry #marketexit #algorithmtrading #investmentdecisionmaking
The In and Out strategy involves using different exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to signal when to buy and sell certain assets. The DBB ETF tracks the prices of three industrial metals and a 7% drop over about three months is considered significant. The XLI ETF tracks the US industrial sector and a 7% drop over about three months is also significant. The SHY ETF tracks short-term US Treasury debt and changes in its interest yield can indicate changes in a company's cost of debt. A 60 basis points increase over about three months is considered significant. By monitoring these signals, investors can make informed decisions about when to buy or sell certain assets.
The In and Out Strategy is a trading algorithm that focuses on the market's entry and exit decisions. It only trades the market (SPY) and invests in bonds (IEF and TLT) when out of the market. The algorithm follows specific rules, such as going out of the market and into bonds if any of the indicators drop significantly. It waits for three trading weeks for the dust to settle, but if the market drops by 30% during this period, it enters immediately.
The algorithm does not focus on equity selection, assuming that you can plug in your equity selection logic to boost your strategy's returns. The scheduling functions are designed to check daily whether to go out of the market since prices drop quickly when things deteriorate. In contrast, going back into the market is checked weekly to minimize complex equity purchases' execution frequency.
Overall, this algorithm is suitable for traders who want a simple yet effective way to make entry and exit decisions without spending too much time reshuffling their portfolio daily.
```js
//@version=4
strategy("In and Out Strategy", overlay=true)
// Define indicators
dbb = security("DBB", timeframe.period, close)
xli = security("XLI", timeframe.period, close)
shy = security("SHY", timeframe.period, close)
// Define signals for entry and exit
buy_signal = crossover(dbb, xli) and crossover(shy, shy[1] + 0.006)
sell_signal = crossunder(dbb, xli) and crossunder(shy, shy[1] - 0.006)
// Define stop loss and take profit levels
stop_loss = 0.3 // 30% drop in SPY triggers immediate exit
take_profit = 0.1 // 10% gain in SPY triggers immediate exit
// Define trading rules
if buy_signal
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)
if sell_signal
strategy.close("Long")
if strategy.position_size == 0 // Out of the market
if close < close[1] * (1 - stop_loss) // Significant drop in market
strategy.entry("Bonds", strategy.short)
if strategy.position_size > 0 // In the market
if close > close[1] * (1 + take_profit) // Significant gain in market
strategy.close("Long")
if barssince(strategy.position_size == 0) > 15 // Wait for 3 trading weeks
strategy.entry("Bonds", strategy.short)
```